Result Previews - OGDC & MARI
- We expect OGDC to post earnings of PKR76.0bn (EPS: PKR17.68), up 19%YoY in FY18, along with a final DPS of PKR3 taking full year DPS to PKR10.5 (payout: 59%). On quarterly basis, we expect OGDC’s earnings to be 19%YoY higher at PKR19.2bn (EPS: PKR4.47) in 4QFY18 but 5% lower QoQ.
- We project MARI’s earnings to stand at PKR15.0bn (EPS: PKR136.41), up 65%YoY in FY18. We expect it to announce DPS of PKR6.4. On quarterly basis, we expect MARI’s earnings to grow by 50%YoY/7%QoQ to PKR4.3bn (EPS: PKR38.59) in 4QFY18.
- With revision in Risk Free Rate assumption to 10% (from 8.5%) and adjustment in Exchange Rate forecasts, our rolled forward Jun-19 PT’s for OGDC/MARI stand relatively flat at PKR197/PKR1,834 per share. We however revise up earnings estimates as we project higher revenues with higher exchange rate forecast.
Mari Petroleum Company Limited is a Pakistan-based exploration and production company. The Company is engaged in managing and operating Pakistan's gas reservoir at Mari Field, District Ghotki, Sindh. Its segments include Exploration and Production; Mari Seismic Unit, and Mari Drilling Unit. The Exploration and Production segment includes various upstream business activities. The Mari Seismic Unit segment includes two-dimensional (2D)/three-dimensional (3D) seismic data acquisition. The Mari Drilling Unit segment includes onshore drilling services. In addition to Mari Gas Field, it holds development and production leases over Zarghun South and Sujawal Gas Fields, and has operatorship of eight exploration blocks (Ziarat, Harnai, Sukkur, Sujawal, Karak, Ghauri, Peshawar East and Khetwaro). Its other products include crude oil, condensate and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). Its exploration and production assets are spread across Pakistan in all four provinces.
Oil and Gas Development Company is a petroleum exploration and production (E&P) company in the Pakistan oil and gas sector. Co.'s principal activity is to explore, develop, produce and sell oil and gas resources and related activities. Co. also manufactures Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas, Crude Oil, and Sulphur. Co.'s major fields contributing in the aforesaid production of crude oil include Nashpa, Kunnar/KPD, Pasakhi, Sinjhoro and Rajian and for gas include Qadirpur, Uch, KPD, Nashpa and Dakhni. Co. carries out exploration and development activities on its own as well as in joint ventures with other oil companies.
Elixir Securities Pakistan is a Corporate Member of the Pakistan Stock Exchange & Pakistan Mercantile Exchange and is one of the leading securities brokerage & investment banking firms in Pakistan, established since 1994. Our principal business activities include all aspects of Pakistan’s Capital Markets covering Securities Brokerage (Equities, Fixed Income and Commodities), Corporate Finance & Capital Markets Advisory (M&A, ECM, DCM) and Investment Research (Economics & Securities). We are one of the most active & aggressive Broker-Dealers in Pakistan executing trades for most of the Top 20 Global Brokers with unmatched corporate access credentials and have successfully advised and closed on some landmark ECM transactions in the history of Pakistan including the largest deal in frontier Asia (USD 1.02 billion). Our Clients include foreign and domestic financial institutions (Banks, Asset Managers, Insurance Companies, Pension Funds) corporates, HNWI’s and retail investors. This is supported by a very strong and independent research capability, which is quoted regularly in both local and international media.
Elixir Securities Pakistan is the proud recipient of many awards & recognitions including AsiaMoney’s Brokers Poll 2017, FinanceAsia’s Pakistan Best Investment Bank and Best Broker 2017, The Asset’s Best Brokerage House in Pakistan 2016, Asiamoney’s “Best Domestic Equity House 2015 in Pakistan”, The Asset Triple A Country Awards 2015 - Pakistan “Deal of the Year” and “Deal of the Year-Highly Commended”, CFA Society of Pakistan Awards for Year 2015 “Best Research Analyst (1st Rank), CFA Society of Pakistan Awards for Year 2014 “Best Research Analyst (1st Rank)”, “Best Trader” 2nd Runner-up (3rd Rank), The Asset Triple A Country Awards 2014’s “Best Deal in Pakistan” and Capital Finance International’s nomination for “Best Equity Research in Pakistan 2010”.
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