Report
Paul Bryant

Time for a rerating

Results for H1 to end Nov ‘20 show Time’s recovery is well underway from an industry-wide, Covid-induced slump in good quality lending demand and spike in bad debt provisions. This coincides with a Group rebrand, which consolidates 5 years of buy-&-build success and offers a range of new competitive advantages.

The loan book is growing again, reaching £106m on 30 Nov 20 (Nov 19: £125m; June 20: £95m); loans in arrears reduced by £6.1m during H1 after jumping £9.1m in the prior 6m; and the value of loans in forbearance has dropped from a peak of £25m in May 20 to £2.6m in November 20. Impressively, Time recorded a PBT of £1.4m in H1, compared to a loss of £1.0m in H2 20.

At a market level, light at the end of the Covid-19 tunnel brought about by the start of vaccine rollouts, coupled with a more clearly defined post-Brexit UK-EU relationship, should provide a platform for further recovery. While at a competitive level, Time’s established market position gives it a strong chance of gaining market share.

The share price of 25p is 30% below pre-pandemic levels, with valuation multiples suggesting that Time looks significantly undervalued in relation to peers.
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Underlyings
Close Brothers Group plc

Duke Royalty

PCF Group

PCF Group is an investment holding company. Co.'s wholly-owned subsidiary, PCF Bank Limited, has two operating divisions: Business Finance, which provides hire purchase and finance lease agreements to sole traders, partnerships and limited companies to help them acquire vehicles, plant and equipment; and Consumer Finance, which provides hire purchase and conditional sale agreements to retail customers to help them acquire vehicles. As of Sep 30 2017, Co. had total assets of £172.5 million.

Time Finance

1PM is engaged in providing financial services to U.K. businesses.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Paul Bryant

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