Strategy on track, despite timing issues
Driver Group has issued a trading update earlier than normal, citing a weak Q3 (reflecting a combination of timing issues and the later Easter) as reasons. Nevertheless, Q4 has witnessed a return to more normal patterns of trading and coupled with the rationalisation programme yet to impact results and the pipeline of orders looking more encouraging, we think the medium-term outlook appears favourable. The further improvement in net cash levels provides the Board with opportunities, not least in its capital allocation policy, including the further return of cash to shareholders. The NAV remains above the current share price.We expect the NAV to decline modestly during H2, reflecting the slight reduction in profitability. However, at c.£15.8m / 29p per share, which is 8% above the current share price, this provides healthy support for the shares. With the current share price now below levels of previous buybacks and net cash higher during H2, we remain positive over the medium-term.
Yet reflecting the timing issues witnessed during H2, we reduce our fair value / share from 49p to 40p.
Driver Group is engaged in providing consultancy services to the engineering and construction industries. Co. is organized into three operating divisions: Europe and Americas (EuAm), Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa (AMEA) and Initiate. In EuAm and AMEA the key service provisions are: quantity surveying, planning/programming, quantum and planning personnel, dispute avoidance/resolution, litigation support, contract administration and commercial advice/management. In Initiate the key service provisions are capital investment consultancy providing development, project and contracting management services to the infrastructure market in the U.K.
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