Report
Mike Jeremy

Trading update: H1 meets expectations

In a Trading Update for the first half to 30 June 2023, Mpac reports that trading was in line with management expectations, reiterating - as stated at the AGM in May - that performance remains second half weighted, supported by the strength of the order book and projects underway. The Group closed H1 with a strong balance sheet and positive net cash.

Mpac notes that order intake for the year to date is significantly ahead at £62.4m compared to £32.8m a year earlier, with the H1 closing order book at £78.4m, +25%YoY above the start of FY23 (£62.7m). The performance of (higher margin) Service operations has also been strong, whilst the Group is able to report that supply chain issues that impacted completion of Original Equipment projects have now largely eased. This adds confidence for second half performance and a return to normalised margins: our FY23 gross margin outlook is 28.9%, for FY24 31.3% (FY19: 29.3%; FY20: 29.0%). We expect net debt of £4.7m to revert towards a positive FY23 net cash position of £7.5m.

On site commissioning of the assembly line at FREYR’s Battery Customer Qualification Plant in Norway continues.

Our FY24 outlook remains 11%YoY revenue growth and 35.0%YoY growth in (adj.) EBITDA with fair value for Mpac seen at 485p/share, indicative of a FY24 EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.9x.
Underlying
Mpac Group

Mpac Group is focused on its Packaging Machinery business, Mpac Langen, which designs, precision engineers and manufactures packaging solutions, machinery and high specification automation, secondary packaging equipment and end-of-line robotics and at-line instrumentation and testing solutions as well as providing solutions including the design and integration of packaging systems.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Mike Jeremy

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