H1 AUM +4% from quality manager with 8.6% yield
AUM increased 4% over H1-25 (1 Apr 24 – 30 Sep 24) to £22.7bn from £21.9bn on 31 Mar 24. It was a half-year of two quarters with Q1 AUM up by 7.4% (net inflows: +£644m, investment performance: +£978m), while a more challenging and volatile market environment saw Q2 AUM down 3.5% (net outflows: -£172m, investment performance: -£655m).The marginally negative net flows of Q2 (0.7% of AUM) were not a surprise for a period of investor nervousness, with UK investors withdrawing from equity funds in the latter part of the quarter (see page 2). And the negative investment performance of Q2 occurred in a period which saw an equity sell-off and a significant currency headwind on those assets held in US$. Polar’s reporting currency, GBP, strengthened by 6% over the US$ in Q2 from 1.26 to 1.34.
Other than adjusting performance fees, forecasts are unchanged. We note our end-FY25 (31 Mar 25) AUM forecast is £23.5bn, only 3.5% above that of 30 Sep 24. Our fundamental valuation remains 650p, 22% above the share price. With its strong profit margins, balance sheet, and a dividend yield of 8.6%, we think Polar Capital should trade at a substantial premium to its PER of 12.6.
Polar Capital Holdings is an investment management company providing professional and institutional investors a range of geographical and sector funds. Co. manages 25 funds and four managed accounts across a range of long only and alternative products. Co. has one class of business, being the provision of investment management and advisory services. As of Mar 31 2017, Co. had total assets under management of £9.27 billion.
Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.
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