Report
Paul Bryant

Outflows slow in Q1 but markets drive AUM lower

AUM fell £3.17bn or 14% over Q1 of FY23, from £22.12bn on 31 Mar 22 to £18.95bn on 30 Jun 22. This fall was actually a little less than we had expected, given the very sharp falls in equity markets over the quarter: the MSCI ACWI fell 15.5%, and the Dow Jones Global Technology Index fell 23.4% (technology strategies made up 42% of Polar’s AUM on 31 Mar 22).

Outflows from Polar’s technology funds slowed from £630m in Q422 to £380m. We would highlight this slowdown in outflows as a significant development, as in previous quarters investors were aggressively withdrawing funds in parallel with the large declines in technology stock values.

However, being so early in the financial year, we have left our full year FY23 forecasts unchanged, which we believe is a conservative stance as we do now see a higher probability that our forecasts may be exceeded (because of the slightly stronger than expected June AUM performance). We will re-visit these when Polar releases its Q2 AUM update in October.

Therefore, our fundamental valuation remains 800p per share
Underlying
Polar Capital Holdings

Polar Capital Holdings is an investment management company providing professional and institutional investors a range of geographical and sector funds. Co. manages 25 funds and four managed accounts across a range of long only and alternative products. Co. has one class of business, being the provision of investment management and advisory services. As of Mar 31 2017, Co. had total assets under management of £9.27 billion.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Paul Bryant

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