Solid H1 amidst sharp sector share-price falls
AUM was slightly down (-0.4%) to £19.14bn over H1-24 (to 30 Sep 23), with a -2.9% fall in Q2 (Jul-Sep) following the +2.6% gain of Q1 (Apr-Jun). Investment performance was positive at +£546m (-£154m in Q2, and +£700m in Q1), net flows negative at -£581m (Q2: -£380m; Q1: -£201m), while fund closures reduced AUM by £50m.We reduce our FY24 & FY25 forecasts due to AUM and marked-to-market performance fees being lower than prior forecast: end-FY24 AUM f’cast is now £19.4bn (prev. £20.7bn), FY24 revenue £169.2m (£178.4m), and core operating profit £40.7m (£44.1m). We reduce our fundamental valuation from 625p per share to 575p, although this is still 31% above the current share price.
Additionally, on page 2 we elaborate on why the recent sharp falls in asset management valuations look over-done to us, especially in light of recent M&A activity in the sector.
Polar Capital Holdings is an investment management company providing professional and institutional investors a range of geographical and sector funds. Co. manages 25 funds and four managed accounts across a range of long only and alternative products. Co. has one class of business, being the provision of investment management and advisory services. As of Mar 31 2017, Co. had total assets under management of £9.27 billion.
Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.
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