Report
David O'Brien

Early operational recovery and net debt cut

We are encouraged by the H1 trading update. The highlight was the news that the decline in indebtedness/key covenant ratio has triggered a lower interest rate on outstanding debt. The update stated that the net debt/EBITDA ratio had fallen comfortably below the 2x level. We envisage this falling to modestly below 1.7x by the year end and achieving the Group’s target of 1.5x during FY25.

Good progress was seen within Kettle Controls and Billi during the period. Shipments of kettle controls are ahead yoy, led by improvements in the regulated and less-regulated markets. The launch of a new range of low cost controls into the less regulated and Chinese markets during H2 should help Strix to further improve its market share. We note that UK housing transactions improved yoy from April, a key determinant in the replacement of small domestic appliances.

Billi should build on the positive progress witnessed during H1 as new products are launched and its expansion into Europe via sales and service partners. As such, we anticipate an acceleration in growth levels, commensurate with the double-digit uplift witnessed in previous years within Premier Filtration Systems.

With no change to financial estimates, as per guidance, we retain our fair value/share of 167p, suggesting that the shares remain materially undervalued.
Underlying
Strix Group

Strix Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the designing, manufacturing and supply of kettle safety controls and other components and devices involving water heating and temperature control, steam management and water filtration. Co.'s core products are kettle safety controls, which are responsible for disconnecting the power to the heating element when either water has boiled, operated with no water present, or in some products when the kettle is lifted off its base.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
David O'Brien

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Equity Development

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch