Report
David O'Brien

Strix Group - Is change afoot?

The trading update for the six months to September covers three areas: trading, indebtedness and the Board. With Billi and Consumer goods performing to plan, the Controls division remains the outlier, reflecting a slower than hoped for recovery in its markets. We have reduced estimates as a result, with adj. PBT / EPS declining by 9.7%.

With declining profitability, the net debt/EBITDA covenant ratio has risen to 2.5x, albeit this remains below the leverage ceiling, and the Group has introduced means to accelerate the debt reduction process. The CEO, Mark Bartlett, is to stand down from both his position and the Board by the end of May 2026, by mutual agreement. A search process for his successor is currently underway.

Our fair value is based on a comparative peer group model, utilising PER, EV/EBITDA and EV/Sales, having discounted the Price/Book outlier. The recalculated outcome is 89p / share (down from 95p) to reflect the reduction in estimates but remains at a significant premium to the current share price.
Underlying
Strix Group

Strix Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the designing, manufacturing and supply of kettle safety controls and other components and devices involving water heating and temperature control, steam management and water filtration. Co.'s core products are kettle safety controls, which are responsible for disconnecting the power to the heating element when either water has boiled, operated with no water present, or in some products when the kettle is lifted off its base.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
David O'Brien

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