Report

Wonderful business at attractive price

What makes a great stock? Well according to legendary investor Warren Buffet, it is buying a “wonderful business at a fair price”. A maxim that we believe rings true for Watkin Jones, who today issued another positive set of results.

FY19 turnover climbed 3.2% to £374.8m (£363.1m LY), with the dividend hiked 9.9% to 8.35p (7.6p LY & 2x covered), reflecting robust cashflows and closing net funds of £76.8m (£80.2m LY), equating to 30p/share.

Elsewhere gross profits rose 6.0% to £76.8m (margin 20.5%) with student accommodation delivering the lion’s share at £51.6m (vs £60.7m LY), but ably supported by Build-to-Rent (£13.2m vs £1.0m LY), residential housing (£7.7m vs £4.4m) and Fresh lettings (£4.6m vs £4.5m). EBIT margins ticked up too, to 14.0% (13.7%) thanks to tight cost control, with adjusted EPS climbing 4.6% to 16.7p (16.0p).

I guess we shouldn’t be surprised though, since the adjusted 29.9% RoE (FY19 average) far exceeds WJG’s cost of capital, mirroring its capital-lite model, 1st class execution and the secular tailwinds underpinning its two core markets of PBSA and BtR.

Indeed we believe disciplined capital allocation is a key theme that is unlikely to change anytime soon, given the extensive experience of the executive team, and the careful guidance offered by the Watkin Jones family (18% stake).

Going forward, management see plenty of opportunities, on the back of a chronic shortage of UK housing, increasing business confidence, a ‘Golden era’ for BtR, low interest rates and a catchup in investment after December’s General Election.

We keep our FY20 forecasts and 300p/share valuation unchanged, but look forward to further news as the year progresses.
Underlying
Watkin Jones

Watkin Jones is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the property development and the management of properties for multiple residential occupation. Co. operates in the following segments: student accommodation, which is engaged in the development of purpose built student accommodation; build to rent, which is engaged in the development of build to rent accommodation; residential, which is engaged in the development of residential property; and accommodation management, which is engaged in the management of student accommodation and build to rent property.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Paul Hill

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