Report
Stamatios Draziotis CFA
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AEGEAN | Cruising steadily

Our new note on Aegean argues that the moderating supply growth in 2019e sets the scene for satisfactory operating profit growth next year, with Aegean expected to operate an unchanged number of aircraft. We also look into Aegean’s re-fleeting plan arguing that this is not likely to decidedly change the capital structure, as we expect operating leases to remain the main means of financing. We also stress that the expiration of the bulk of Aegean’s leases by 2023 provides the group with great flexibility regarding the financing of its fleet renewal.

Against this background and thanks to the healthy cash flow generation and the strong balance sheet, we expect Aegean to maintain a high dividend-paying policy despite the $250m pre-delivery outlays by 2021.

As for IFRS 16, initial calculations by the company point to the recognition of a right-to-use asset equal to c€340m, which would be small in the context of the annual rental payment (
Underlying
Aegean Airlines SA

Aegean Airlines is an airline carrier based in Greece. Co. is engaged in aviation transportation, providing services that concern the transportation of passengers and commodities in the sector of public aviation transportation inside and outside Greece, conducting scheduled and unscheduled flights. Co. provides full service, premium quality short and medium haul services. Co. maintains a network of 145 destinations, 111 international in 45 countries and 34 domestic destinations. Co. is a member of global airline network, the Star Alliance network.

Provider
Eurobank Equities
Eurobank Equities

Eurobank Equities is a Greek-based firm offering research, sales and trading services to institutional, corporate and private clients. The company is wholly owned by Eurobank, one of the 4 systemic banks in Greece.

Research is the backbone of Eurobank Equities' platform, with a team of 4 professionals committed to generating actionable investment ideas by providing timely research products. We are committed to offering value-added services to clients by filtering market noise and providing insights on the multiple sectors that we cover. Our universe includes 26 - large, medium and small cap - companies whose market capitalization amounts to 80-85% of the total market capitalization of the Athens Stock Exchange. Our research team also maintains the capacity to generate ad-hoc research for micro-cap listed companies.

Our team has consistently gained recognition among institutional investors for its quality research, having ranked No. 1 team in Greece at the Extel Surveys of 2013-2016 and 2018. We have also been named Leading Brokerage Firm in Greece over 2014-2016 and in 2018.

Analysts
Stamatios Draziotis CFA

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