Lamda Development | Re-assessing covid-19
Second wave of COVID-19 outburst pinpointing to further adjustments ... – We re-assess our outlook on Lamda to include the negative impact of the 2nd lockdown and the reinstated mandatory discounts on rents of pandemic-hit sectors. Under our baseline assessment, the second lockdown will impede our earlier FY20 retail EBITDA forecast by another €5.7m (of which some >€2m forecast for November). The implied decline in FY20e base rents for the three shopping centres is estimated at c28% yoy, with total retail EBITDA declining by c40% yoy.…extending into 2021… – Our new base case scenario calls for sustained restrictions during the winter months (e.g. number of visitors and employees allowed per square footage), leading to a 55% yoy decline in footfall during Q1’21. We assume sequential improvement in Q2’21 and return to normalcy in the second half of 2021, with H2’21 base rents
Lamda Development is a real estate development group based in Greece. Co.'s main activities comprise investment, development and maintenance of innovative real estate projects. Co. operates in Greece, as well as in other neighboring Balkan countries mainly Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Montenegro. Co.'s operations are organized along two business segments: Real Estate; and Marine Services. Co. is a subsidiary of Lamda Holdings.
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