We remain constructive on Ukrainian local debt. Our view is supported by improved geopolitics, strong macroeconomic performance, solid external balances, and attractive risk-reward balance amid the global carry-friendly environment. Pushed by elevated fiscal needs, Ukraine's bonds offer relatively high yields against a background of relatively modest macro, credit, and FX risks, especially on a short-term horizon. Meanwhile, a slowdown in structural reforms and slow progress in negotiations with the IMF put a drag on economic performance and may deteriorate risk metrics in the medium term.
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