Weekly Insight -- First rate hike since 2022
The NBU raised the key monetary policy rate by 50 bps to 13.5%, defying market expectations.
Rising inflation, which reached 11.2% YoY in November, compelled the NBU to act despite its recent macroeconomic forecast, which had anticipated no changes in the interest rate until the second half of next year when the first cut was expected. The regulator cited inflationary pressures from food prices as a key driver for the hike, aiming to preserve the attractiveness of UAH-denominated assets.