ICU - Weekly Insight -- NBU fully offsets spike in FX demand

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ICU

Research Team

Weekly Insight -- NBU fully offsets spike in FX demand

Demand for foreign currency rose sharply last week, prompting the NBU to increase interventions to a five-month high.

21/07/2025 6 EN

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ICU

ICU IS A FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP PROVIDING SECURITIES TRADING, INVESTMENT BANKING AND ASSET MANAGEMENT FOR PRIVATE AND INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS.

More information about ICU you can find at https://www.icu.ua/

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Monthly current account (C/A) deficit exceeded US$4.1bn in July, the level seen first time ever. The surging trade-in-goods deficit (US$4.4bn in July and US$42bn over 12-month period) was the key culprit behind the record high C/A gap. Export of goods remain suppressed with only marginal 3% growth YoY in July while imports surged 20% with significant growth seen across the board.

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The NBU strengthened the hryvnia again last week, while decreasing its FX interventions on the back of narrower FX market shortage. The hryvnia appreciated to UAH41.22/US$ last Thursday, the strongest level since April, and an official exchange rate ended last week at UAH41.28/US$.

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In August, individuals reinvested proceeds from recent bond redemptions and also invested new savings, pushing their portfolio to a new record high of UAH100.5bn.

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Weekly Insight -- NBU fully offsets spike in FX demand

Weekly Insight -- C/A deficit record high in July

Weekly Insight -- NBU strengthens hryvnia further

Weekly Insight -- Retail bond portfolio exceeds UAH100bn

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