ICU - Weekly Insight -- Weak economic growth in February

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ICU

Research Team

Weekly Insight -- Weak economic growth in February

Production, transport and retail turnover data might imply some economic growth in February, but the impact of COVID-19 will be felt since March.

31/03/2020 7 EN

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ICU

ICU IS A FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP PROVIDING SECURITIES TRADING, INVESTMENT BANKING AND ASSET MANAGEMENT FOR PRIVATE AND INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS.

More information about ICU you can find at https://www.icu.ua/

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Analysts

Research Team

Other Reports from ICU

Taras Kotovych

Taras Kotovych

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Ukraine’s annual inflation slowed further to 3.2% in March from 4.3% in February, which came as a major surprise.A significant deceleration in consumer prices was largely due to a decline in food prices, which is highly unusual for this time of the year. Prices for food staples declined by 0.2% MoM implying an only marginal growth of 0.2% in YoY terms. A number of significant food basket components were significantly cheaper in YoY terms, namely eggs (-34.3% YoY), sunflower oil (-17.4%), sugar (-13.3%), fruits (-12.2%), and several other items. Price growth also remains weak (or even negative)...

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Taras Kotovych

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The Ministry of Finance decreased interest rates for two out of three offered UAH bonds yesterday, coming closer to a decrease in three-month NBU CDs interest rates. Yesterday's auction provided the state budget with UAH7.2bn proceeds, including UAH5.4bn in local currency and EUR42.9m. UAH proceeds were lower due to a smaller cap for 12-month bills and lower demand for three-year notes. However, this did not prevent the Ministry from continuing to lower rates for some instruments. Four weeks after the NBU cut its interest rates, interest rates for 12-month bills fell by 70bp, for two-year pap...

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Weekly Insight -- Weak economic growth in February

Bond Market Insight -- Bond rate reduction on hold

Weekly Insight -- Inflation falls sharply in March

Bond Market Insight -- UAH bond rates decline further

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