ICU - Weekly Insight -- Weak start of 1Q20

Report

ICU

Research Team

Weekly Insight -- Weak start of 1Q20

Retail sales keep rising at solid rates, but contraction in other real sectors of economy point to a weaker-than-expected 1Q20.

03/03/2020 7 EN

Provider

ICU

ICU IS A FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP PROVIDING SECURITIES TRADING, INVESTMENT BANKING AND ASSET MANAGEMENT FOR PRIVATE AND INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS.

More information about ICU you can find at https://www.icu.ua/

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Analysts

Research Team

Other Reports from ICU

Vitaliy Vavryshchuk

Vitaliy Vavryshchuk

Macro Update -- Macro Risks Remain Manageable

The resilience of Ukraine’s economy to unprecedented external shocks remains beyond any doubt. The economy continues to grow in 2024 at a reasonable pace and massive destruction of the country’s energy infrastructure will only slow, but not disrupt, the recovery. Ukraine’s largest economic achievement of the past quarters is the launch of a fully functioning Black Sea cargo corridor that made it possible to export a wide range of commodities. The biggest positive surprise of 1Q24 was a sharp slowdown of inflation that reached 3.2% in March. Low CPI combined with a stable FX market implies sign...

18h / 1m 18h / 1m 9 EN

Taras Kotovych

Taras Kotovych

Weekly Insight -- NBU does not prevent hryvnia weakening

Last week, hryvnia continued to weaken even though NBU FX interventions were the largest since the beginning of January.The NBU sold US$695m from international reserves last week, the largest volume of interventions in more than three months (a larger amount, US$790m, was last sold in the first week of the year). We estimate the largest volume, approximately US$215m (nearly a third of the weekly volume), was sold last Friday.

April 22, 2024 April 22, 2024 7 EN

Taras Kotovych

Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Bond rate reduction on hold

Yesterday, demand at the primary auction did not allow the Ministry of Finance to continue lowering rates or to sell planned volumes of bonds.

April 17, 2024 April 17, 2024 4 EN

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Weekly Insight -- Weak start of 1Q20

Macro Update -- Macro Risks Remain Manageable

Weekly Insight -- NBU does not prevent hryvnia weakening

Bond Market Insight -- Bond rate reduction on hold

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