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How likely is a U.S. equity market correction?

As the U.S. equity market continues its uptrend, reflecting investor positioning for a regime shift in both the economy and financial markets, a number of analysts have gradually become more skeptical regarding a prolonged continuation of the rally, as policy uncertainty remains elevated, market multiples have been expanding, investor sentiment is buoyant, and interest rates are expected to rise further, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s less dovish stance.

To assess whether equities can prolong their solid performance an econometric model (Probit model) that combines valuation, interest rate and volatility signals is used.

Iniohos Advisory Services
Iniohos Advisory Services

​Iniohos Advisory Services is an independent investment research and consulting house, founded by investment professionals with long and in-depth experience in global financial markets.

Iniohos Advisory Services aims to provide top-end investment solutions to High Net Worth Individuals and institutional investors, ranging from proactive investment research to tailor made financial and risk modelling.

Our research covers the areas of investment and macroeconomic research, investment strategy and asset allocation, financial modelling and risk management.

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