The probabilities of a U.S. bear market and recession are rising, but have not yet reached critical levels!
The probability that the recent equity market correction could turn into a bear market, as well as the probability that the U.S. economy’s lengthy expansion will eventually come to an end in 2020, are part of the prevailing themes in financial markets that cause investor concern and negatively impact risk sentiment. It is, thus, interesting to explore how probable these events really are and in what time frame, especially as typically economic turbulence goes hand in hand with financial market distress.
Iniohos Advisory Services is an independent investment research and consulting house, founded by investment professionals with long and in-depth experience in global financial markets.
Iniohos Advisory Services aims to provide top-end investment solutions to High Net Worth Individuals and institutional investors, ranging from proactive investment research to tailor made financial and risk modelling.
Our research covers the areas of investment and macroeconomic research, investment strategy and asset allocation, financial modelling and risk management.
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