The recent rise in equity volatility has been largely attributed to the Federal Reserve’s policy normalization and the unwinding of the unconventional monetary policy tools that it deployed since the outbreak of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in specific. The pace of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reduction or quantitative tightening is a closely watched metric, as investors fear that it will have a significant impact on market liquidity.
Recent comments by Federal Reserve officials regarding the mechanics of quantitative tightening seem to have had a material, but short-lived, impact on financial markets. Thus, there seems to be specific investor focus on quantitative tightening related developments. It is only rational that as quantitative easing had a positive impact on market liquidity and managed to bring down risk premia and volatility in general, investors are worried that quantitative tightening will have the opposite effect.
We have been arguing for some time that it is rather unrealistic to assume that the effect of quantitative tightening will be symmetric or analogous to that of quantitative easing for a variety of reasons...
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