Will the end of QE amplify the probability of volatility episodes?
A number of analysts are commenting that the fact that major central banks’ quantitative easing programs are gradually coming to an end will have wider repercussions for the global economy and financial markets. Indeed, it is more than rational to assume that the end of large-scale securities purchases will change the way that economic agents assess and project the macroeconomic environment, and investors forecast the future path of their underlying assets.
Widely cited implications include the fading influence of central banks, the return to monitoring economic and market fundamentals, and the financial sector's changing landscape.
The most important consideration, however, is whether the termination of quantitative easing programs will amplify the probability of Minsky moments and/or frequent volatility episodes.
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