Report
Alexander Ineichen

Flash Update 27 November 2017

Global GDP

Continues to rise. (page 2)

Industrial production

Ditto. (page 3)

PMI

7 from 9 preliminary PMI were higher. (page 4)

Business sentiment

It’s a bit early to judge, but sentiment might have peaked. (page 5)

Consumer sentiment

Ditto. (page 6)

Eurozone

One business sentiment indicator continues its upward trajectory. (page 7)

Germany

Remains in 100th percentile based on IFO. (page 8)

Italy

Consumer sentiment falls a tick after two strong rises. (page 9)

Risk

There are of course reasons to be nervous. (page 10) US equities to GDP metric is a tick below its historical peak. (page 11)

Trivia

We should have bought Bit**in.* (page 12) Interest rates about to rise.
(page 13)

Provider
IR&M
IR&M

Ineichen Research and Management ("IR&M") is a research firm focusing on investment themes related to absolute returns and risk management. IR&M was founded in 2009 and is an independent company, fully owned by Alexander Ineichen. IR&M is based near Zug, Switzerland, a healthy distance to the main epicentres of mainstream financial thinking. IR&M’s research is designed to improve its clients’ investment decision making. The basic premise is the idea that long-term success is dependent on survival and avoidance of large losses, i.e., the management of risk, not returns.

Analysts
Alexander Ineichen

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