Global GDP |
Continues to rise. (page 2) |
Industrial production |
Ditto. (page 3) |
PMI |
7 from 9 preliminary PMI were higher. (page 4) |
Business sentiment |
It’s a bit early to judge, but sentiment might have peaked. (page 5) |
Consumer sentiment |
Ditto. (page 6) |
Eurozone |
One business sentiment indicator continues its upward trajectory. (page 7) |
Germany |
Remains in 100th percentile based on IFO. (page 8) |
Italy |
Consumer sentiment falls a tick after two strong rises. (page 9) |
Risk |
There are of course reasons to be nervous. (page 10) US equities to GDP metric is a tick below its historical peak. (page 11) |
Trivia |
We should have bought Bit**in.* (page 12) Interest rates about to rise. |
Ineichen Research and Management ("IR&M") is a research firm focusing on investment themes related to absolute returns and risk management. IR&M was founded in 2009 and is an independent company, fully owned by Alexander Ineichen. IR&M is based near Zug, Switzerland, a healthy distance to the main epicentres of mainstream financial thinking. IR&M’s research is designed to improve its clients’ investment decision making. The basic premise is the idea that long-term success is dependent on survival and avoidance of large losses, i.e., the management of risk, not returns.
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