IR&M Flash Update 16 April 2018
|
Global economy |
Singapore surprises positively. (page 2) Industrial production is positive but falls are numerous and sharp. (page 3) |
|
Sentiment |
Average economic, business, and consumer sentiment remain falling. |
|
US |
Preliminary consumer sentiment gauge fell by 0.9 sd. (page 7) Small business sentiment report was horrid. (pages 8-9) |
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Australia |
A business conditions measure fell by 1.5 sd. (page 10) |
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Risk |
Momentum in gold mining stocks is still negative. (page 11) 73% of equity markets are still in bull phase, down from 91% last June. (page 13) |
Ineichen Research and Management ("IR&M") is a research firm focusing on investment themes related to absolute returns and risk management. IR&M was founded in 2009 and is an independent company, fully owned by Alexander Ineichen. IR&M is based near Zug, Switzerland, a healthy distance to the main epicentres of mainstream financial thinking. IR&M’s research is designed to improve its clients’ investment decision making. The basic premise is the idea that long-term success is dependent on survival and avoidance of large losses, i.e., the management of risk, not returns.
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