IR&M Flash Update 23 April 2018
|
Global economy |
China’s GDP reporting remains controlled. (page 2) Industrial production remains positive, US surprising positively. (page 3) |
|
Sentiment |
First preliminary PMI are mixed after sharp fall in March. (page 4) Sentiment remains falling, in general. (page 5-7) |
|
US |
All is well in Empire State. (page 8) Expectations component of Philly is falling. (page 9) Recession probability based on Conference Board data remains very low. (page 10) |
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Eurozone |
Expectations remain falling. (page 11) |
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Germany |
Ditto. (page 12) Violins stopped playing. (page 13) |
|
China |
Li Keqiang Index falls sharply. (page 14) |
|
Japan |
March exports disappointed. (page 15) |
Ineichen Research and Management ("IR&M") is a research firm focusing on investment themes related to absolute returns and risk management. IR&M was founded in 2009 and is an independent company, fully owned by Alexander Ineichen. IR&M is based near Zug, Switzerland, a healthy distance to the main epicentres of mainstream financial thinking. IR&M’s research is designed to improve its clients’ investment decision making. The basic premise is the idea that long-term success is dependent on survival and avoidance of large losses, i.e., the management of risk, not returns.
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