IR&M Flash Update - 25 March 2018
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Sentiment |
Economic and consumer sentiment remains falling; business sentiment remains stalling. (pages 2-4) |
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Europe |
Some economic indicators (eg ZEW and IFO) are falling in a meaningful way. (pages 5-8) |
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Risk |
Hedge funds remain a good bond-substitute. (page 9) VIX is mirror image of SPX. (page 10) Economic reasoning makes no sense when faced with uncertainty. (page 11) |
Ineichen Research and Management ("IR&M") is a research firm focusing on investment themes related to absolute returns and risk management. IR&M was founded in 2009 and is an independent company, fully owned by Alexander Ineichen. IR&M is based near Zug, Switzerland, a healthy distance to the main epicentres of mainstream financial thinking. IR&M’s research is designed to improve its clients’ investment decision making. The basic premise is the idea that long-term success is dependent on survival and avoidance of large losses, i.e., the management of risk, not returns.
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