IR&M Flash Update 28 May 2018
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Global growth |
Industrial production remains positive. (page 2) |
|
Sentiment |
Preliminary PMI were negatively biased, especially in Eurozone. (page 3) Economic sentiment has stabilised. (page 4) Business sentiment is rising in May, after falling in March and April. (page 5) Consumer sentiment remains falling. (page 6) |
|
US |
Erratic Richmond Fed index jumps back after sharp fall in April. (page 7) |
|
Europe |
One Eurozone proxy for business conditions is still within a positive trajectory. (page 8) Momentum in Eurozone Financials remains negative. (pages 9-10) |
|
Germany |
Sentiment remains worsening. (page 11) |
|
Netherlands |
All seems well. (page 12) |
|
Japan |
Business sentiment remains negative based on ESRI. (page 13) |
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Brazil |
Consumer sentiment might have reversed to negative. (page 14) |
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Trivia |
Italy and Brazil “greatest” fallers. (page 15) Fewer and fewer stock markets remain in bull market. (page 16) Brazil is “risky”. (page 17) |
Ineichen Research and Management ("IR&M") is a research firm focusing on investment themes related to absolute returns and risk management. IR&M was founded in 2009 and is an independent company, fully owned by Alexander Ineichen. IR&M is based near Zug, Switzerland, a healthy distance to the main epicentres of mainstream financial thinking. IR&M’s research is designed to improve its clients’ investment decision making. The basic premise is the idea that long-term success is dependent on survival and avoidance of large losses, i.e., the management of risk, not returns.
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