Report
Guy Sips ...
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update June 2024: Replacing ‘Gimv' and ‘TKH Group' by ‘Alfen' and ‘argenx'

Despite some large dividend payments (CP Invest, Bekaert, EVS, Solvay, TINC, Van de Velde, Ackermans & Van Haaren...) in our Dynamic Top Pick list in May 2024, our selection gained 1.6% on average, underperforming our benchmark indices (Bel20, AEX, EuroStoxx50) by -0.8% on average. Since the start of the 2024 selection (published on 14 December 2023), the Dynamic Top Pick list is up 15.2%, outperforming these indices by 3.7% on average.

In this June 2024 update of our Dynamic Top Pick List, we replace 'Gimv' and 'TKH Group' with 'Alfen' and 'argenx'.

- We add Alfen to our Dynamic Top Pick List as we see a disconnect between fundamental valuation, driven by structural trends, and short-term momentum. The energy transition will take place, albeit with a delay. However, we will need to invest in the infrastructure from which Alfen will benefit.


- We have also added argenx to our Dynamic Top Pick list. Following two negative Phase 3 data readouts in late 2023, argenx's sentiment and share price have taken a hit, while we believe the overall business case remains largely intact. The company is now fully prepared for its next commercial launch in the neuromuscular autoimmune disease CIDP, with an expected US FDA decision date of 21 June 2024. We see significant unmet clinical need in CIDP and believe argenx could receive a broad label across the CIDP population. Furthermore, argenx will host an R&D day in July 2024, where we expect to see more granularity on the ongoing trials with Vyvgart and empasiprubart. Overall, we therefore expect sentiment to improve again in the coming months as the company continues to advance and de-risk its pipeline.

- On the other hand, despite all the positive developments in Gimv's portfolio, we remove the stock from the Dynamic Top Pick list as it offers little upside to our price target of €51.0. We started the year with Gimv in our Dynamic Top Pick list and since then the stock has returned more than 5.5%. Recall that Gimv recently reported a strong set of results for FY24, with net profit of €217.1m (€7.8 per share) and a portfolio result of €291.1m (19.1%). NAV per share also increased by 10.8% year-on-year from €48.2 to €53.4 and the value of the portfolio stood at €1,559.0m.


- We are also removing TKH Group from our Dynamic Top Pick list, not because we are less bullish on the story, but because we see more short-term upside in Alfen. We remain convinced of TKH's fundamental value. However, we expect weakness to persist in the connectivity segment, while smart vision is expected to recover and manufacturing is expected to grow. We therefore see fewer direct triggers in the short term, although TKH remains a strong conviction, especially in the long term.
Underlyings
ABN AMRO Bank NV Depositary receipts

ABN Amro Bank NV is a bank based in the Netherlands. The Bank provides various financial products and services across a variety of channels, including its Mobile Banking app and Internet Banking. The Bank's product portfolio includes insurances, mortgages, savings, investments, loans and payments, among others. The Bank serves retail, private and corporate clients worldwide.

Ackermans & van Haaren NV

Ackermans & Van Haaren is an investment company. Co. operates in five sectors: Marine Engineering & Infrastructure, which includes DEME NV, a dredging and marine company; Private Banking, which includes BDM NV - Continentale Verzekeringen NV (ASCO NV), which focuses on marine and industrial insurance via brokers; Real Estate, Leisure & Senior Care, which includes Extensa Group NV, a real estate developer; Energy & Resources, which includes Telemond Group, a supplier to the crane and automotive industry; and Development Capital, which is engaged in ICT and engineering, retail and distribution, real estate development, and media and printing.

Alfen NV

Alfen NV (Alfen) is a company based in the Netherlands, engaged in the design, development and production of electric grid equipment. The Company is active in three business lines: Smart Grids, which supplies standardized electricity grid connection systems, secondary transformer substations, local power grids, devices for grid automation, as well as software and back-end systems for remote management and grid control; Energy Storage, responsible for development and installation of modular energy storage systems under the brand TheBattery, which are used by utilities, grid operators, energy traders and industrial companies, among others, and Electric Vehicle (EV) Charging, which supplies EV charge points in a variety of capacities and functionalities for use at home, work and in public areas. In addition, Alfen offers service, management and maintenance activities, including remote support and monitoring, as well as an in-house technological know-how center.

ArGEN-X SE

Argenx N.V. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing a deep pipeline of differentiated antibody-based therapies for the treatment of severe autoimmune diseases and cancer. Utilizing its suite of differentiated technologies, Co. is focused on developing product candidates with the potential to be either first-in-class against novel targets or best-in-class against known, but complex, targets in order to treat diseases with a significant unmet medical need.

Bekaert SA

Bekaert is a global technological and market company engaged in advanced solutions based in steel wire transformation and coatings as well as an independent manufacturer of drawn steel wire products. In addition, Co. teams up with customers and suppliers globally to develop, implement, upgrade, and protect both current and future technologies. Co.'s business activities are put in practice along two main axes: Product Innovation and Process Innovation. Product Innovation helps Co. better serve its customers, while Process innovation enables Co. to increase operational effectiveness, minimizing its impact on the environment.

Care Property Invest SA

Care Property Invest NV. Care Property Invest NV, formerly Serviceflats Invest NV, is a Belgium-based real estate investment company that builds and finances housing for pensioners. The Company specializes in premises equipped with technologies ensuring safety and comfort of elderly people. In addition, Care Property Invest designs, builds, supervises the progress of a number of construction works, monitors the budget and finances projects in the long term. Care Property Invest NV cooperates mainly for public health care center in Antwerp -Openbaar Centrum voor Maatschappelijk Welziijn (OCMW), including Berchem. The Company focuses its activities on the Belgian market. It operates through a number of subsidiaries, such as Ter Bleuk NV, Siger SA and Konli BVBA and VSP Wolvertem bvba.

EVS Broadcast Equipment SA

EVS Broadcasting Equipment is engaged in the development and marketing of audiovisual equipment relating to the processing of pictures and sound. Co. provides solutions based on tapeless workflows with a consistent modular architecture. Co.'s activities are divided into the following regions: Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East and Africa, and America.

Financiere de Tubize S.A.

Financiere de Tubize SA is a Belgium-based holding company. The Company holds minor capital in UCB SA. UCB is a Belgian pharmaceutical and specialty chemical company that specializes in two therapeutic areas: diseases of the central nervous system (CNS) and immunology. UCB, together with its subsidiaries, has research and development facilities in Belgium, Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.

FUGRO NV

Gimv NV

GIMV is a listed investment company, specializing in private equity and venture capital and active in small and medium buyouts, growth financing and technology investments. Co. is also present with technology investments across Europe and in Israel, Japan and the USA. Co. invests in ICT (Technology), environmentally friendly technology (Cleantech) and Life Sciences.

Heineken NV

Heineken is an international brewer and engaged in the production and distribution of beer brands in 178 countries. Co. is committed to the marketing and consumption of its more than 250 international premium, regional, local and specialty beers and ciders. These include Heineken®, Amstel, Anchor, Biere Larue, Bintang, Birra Moretti, Cruzcampo, Desperados, Dos Equis, Foster's, Newcastle Brown Ale, Ochota, Primus, Sagres, Sol, Star, Strongbow, Tecate, Tiger and Zywiec. In addition, Co. is the cider maker with brands such as Strongbow® and Bulmer's®. Some of its wholesalers also distribute wine, spirits and soft drinks.

Ion Beam Applications SA

IBA- Ion Beam Applications develops and markets technologies and pharmaceutical products for the healthcare sector, with a focus on cancer diagnosis and therapy. Co. is also engaged in the sterilization and ionization market. Co. operates in two primary business segments: Equipment and Pharmaceuticals. Co.'s Equipment segment encompasses development, fabrication, and services associated with medical and industrial particle accelerators, proton therapy systems, and a range of dosimetry products, while Co.'s Pharmaceuticals segment encompasses the production and distribution of radiopharmaceutical agents as well as its bioassay operations.

SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED

Sofina SA

SOFINA is an investment company whose portfolio consists of shareholdings in various companies. Co. manages a portfolio of long-term and short-term investments. Its portfolio comprises investments in companies which are active in sectors such as: Energy and Services (GDF Suez, Suez Environnement, bioMerieux and Exmar); Retail (Colruyt, Delhaize); Consumer goods (Danone, Rapala, B & W Group, and Chapoutier); Satellite operators (SES); Finance Companies (Eurazeo, Caledonia, Luxempart, RAB Capital); Industry (Petit Forestier, Landis + Gyr, Carbone Lorraine and Deceuninck) and Alternative assets (Private equity, Hedge funds).

Solvay SA

Solvay is engaged in chemical and plastic businesses worldwide. Co. offers chemical products such as advanced materials, barium strontium, calcium chloride, caustic soda, chlorinated products, fluor, peroxygen products, polyglycerols, precipitated calcium carbonate, soda ash, and sodium bicarbonate. It also provides specialty polymers, such as Spire ultra polymers, Solviva biomaterials, and sulfone polymers. Co. structures its activities around five operating segments: Advanced Formulations, Advanced Materials, Performance Chemicals, Functional Polymers and Corporate & Business Services, each with its own specific business model and each comprised of Global Business Units (GBUs).

TINC Comm. VA

TINC Comm VA. Tinc Comm VA, also known as TINC, is a Belgium-based company focusing on investments in Infrastructure Asset Companies holding capitalintensive Infrastructure Assets providing services and generating cash flows of a long term sustainable nature. The Initial Investment Portfolio of the Company includes investments in over 10 Infrastructure Asset Companies holding underlying Infrastructure Assets in public private partnerships (PPP), energy and real assets in Belgium and the Netherlands, including Strorm and Brabo 1, among others. It operates through Storm Holding 4 NV.

TKH Group N.V. Cert

TKH Group creates and supplies Telecom, Building and Industrial Solutions. Telecom Solutions develops, produces and supplies systems ranging from outdoor infrastructure for telecom and CATV networks through to indoor home networking applications. Building Solutions develops, produces and supplies solutions in the field of electro-technology ranging from applications within buildings through to technical systems that - combined with software - provide solutions for the care and security sectors. Industrial Solutions develops, produces and supplies solutions ranging from specialty cable, "plug and play" cable systems through to integrated systems for the production of car and truck tires.

Van De Velde S.A.

Van de Velde creates, produces and sells luxury women's lingerie under its own brand names. Co.'s brands are Marie Jo – 'Haute Lingerie' which provides timeless underwear fashion for the woman in all her forms; Marie Jo L'Aventure – 'Lingerie Pure' which provides Graphic luxury lingerie for the young-at-heart woman; and PrimaDonna – 'Exigez l'excellence' which provides luxury lingerie that combines a fit with fashion. Co. operates in a single reporting business segment, which is the production and sale of luxury lingerie. Co. reports its opeStefaan Vandammerations based on the geographical location of customers divided into euro zone and non euro zone.

Provider
KBC Securities
KBC Securities

We are a financial services provider for several types of professional clients, each with distinct needs.

 

Analysts
Guy Sips

Jacob Mekhael

Kristof Samoy

Lynn Hautekeete

Michiel Declercq

Sharad Kumar S.P

Thibault Leneeuw

Thomas Couvreur

Thomas Vranken

Wim Hoste

Wim Lewi

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