Report
Lynn Hautekeete

Risk of SOCIMI abolishment Fear of the SOCIMI abolishment stresses European real estate markets

Yesterday Spanish media reported on the potential abolishment of the SOCIMI status. The proposal comes from PSOE (socialists) and Sumar (Left winged). This is the REIT regime for listed companies that alows for a tax exemption. If this is the case corporate income tax would increase from 0% to 25%. It is very important to note that this measure is not yet approved. There is no visiblity yet on a potential alternative system. Additionally, measurements (cost shifts) could be taken to decrease the impact. Nevertheless, it sent a shockwave through the listed Spanish real estate market with Merlin Properties and inmobiliaria colonial down -7.0% and -4.8% respectively. The effect is similar to the abolishment of the FBI regime in the Netherlands in FY22.
In the KBCS universe (see below) 5 companies have Spanish exposure of which 4 have the SOCIMI status. For now, the analysis remains hypothethical as nothing is officially decided. Therefore our forecasted figures still take into account the SOCIMI regime. If the new regulation is approved, there would be a direct negative impact on the EPRA earnings and respective dividend payments on which further company guidance is needed.
Underlyings
Aedifica SA

Aedifica is a property company, which is specialized in residential real estate. Co.'s portfolio has a superstructure of more than 225,911 sq. m as of June 30 2010. It owns: residential or mixed buildings in Belgian cities with classical leases; buildings with furnished apartments buildings in the heart of Brussels with shorter term leases; senior houses and serviceflats with very long term and triple net leases; and hotels. Co. invests: in existing and already leased buildings; and in projects with future completion. Co.'s activities can be divided into four segments: Residential or mixed buildings; Furnished apartments buildings; Senior houses; and Hotels and others.

Ascencio SCA

Ascencio SCA is a Belgium-based real estate investment company. Its investments are mainly focused on properties in the retail and warehouses sector and the food industry in Belgium and France. The majority of its holdings are situated in Wallonia Region of Belgium, also in Flanders, in Brussels and in France. The Company's clients include Carrefour, Champion, Decathlon, Delhaize and others. Ascencio SCA has several wholly owned subsidiaries, such as Etudibel SA, SCI Candice Brives, SCI Echirolles Grugliasco, SCI Harfleur 2005, SCI Kevin, SCI La Pierre de l'Isle, SCI Mas des Abeilles, SCI ZTF Essey les Nancy, SCI Cannet Jourdan, SCI De La Cote, SCI Du Rond Point, SCI Seynod Barral, SCI Clermont Saint Jean and Les Papeteries de Genval , among others.

Care Property Invest SA

Care Property Invest NV. Care Property Invest NV, formerly Serviceflats Invest NV, is a Belgium-based real estate investment company that builds and finances housing for pensioners. The Company specializes in premises equipped with technologies ensuring safety and comfort of elderly people. In addition, Care Property Invest designs, builds, supervises the progress of a number of construction works, monitors the budget and finances projects in the long term. Care Property Invest NV cooperates mainly for public health care center in Antwerp -Openbaar Centrum voor Maatschappelijk Welziijn (OCMW), including Berchem. The Company focuses its activities on the Belgian market. It operates through a number of subsidiaries, such as Ter Bleuk NV, Siger SA and Konli BVBA and VSP Wolvertem bvba.

Cofinimmo SA

Cofinimmo is a fixed capital real estate investment trust. Co. specializes in rental property. Its core investment segments are office property and nursing and care institutions. The portfolio also includes a Distribution property networks segment. Most of Co.'s assets are in Belgium. The foreign part consists of nursing homes/ clinics and the MAAF agencies network in France and the Pubstone portfolio in the Netherlands. Co.'s operations are organized into four segments: Offices, Nursing homes/Clinics, Distribution property networks, and Public-Private Partnerships.

Xior Student Housing N.V.

Xior Student Housing NV is a Belgium-based company active in the field of residential Real Estate. The Company's offer is mainly for students and it includes several types of rooms for rent, including a student house in Leiden.

Provider
KBC Securities
KBC Securities

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Analysts
Lynn Hautekeete

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