Tessenderlo Tough end markets hurt earnings momentum
We have lowered our adjusted EBITDA forecasts for FY24-26 by a 12-15% range following the FY24 adjusted EBITDA guidance reduction from a 5-10% decline to a 15-20% drop. Whilst business conditions in a number of end markets are clearly challenging, Tessenderlo is still generating a sizeable free cash flow, which we estimate at c. 120m for FY24 and which represents a FCF yield of c 10%. The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. Despite the disappointing earnings momentum, we consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumulate rating with ...