Report
EUR 115.11 For Business Accounts Only

Aussie Consumers: Tough Shopping in a Down Market

  • Looking for Defensive Earnings in the Sector is Getting Tougher. 
  • Off on holidays and at play. 
  • Bricks and Mortar Retail Still Looks Shaky, despite Recent Outperformance.
  • The Stocks Benefitting from Holiday Travel Look Too Difficult. 
Underlyings
Ardent Leisure

Ardent Leisure invests in and operates leisure and entertainment businesses in Australia, New Zealand and the U.S. Co. is organised into the following divisions: Marinas, which comprises seven d'Albora Marina properties, located in New South Wales and Victoria; Family entertainment centres, which comprises of 27 Main Event sites in the U.S.; Bowling centres, which comprises 48 bowling centres and six amusement arcades located in Australia and New Zealand; Theme parks, which comprises Dreamworld and WhiteWater World in Coomera, Queensland and the SkyPoint observation deck and climb in Surfers Paradise, Queensland; as well as Health clubs, which comprises 76 clubs in Australia.

Flight Centre Travel Group Limited

Flight Centre Travel Group is engaged in the travel retailing in both the leisure and corporate travel sectors, plus wholesaling.

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd

Harvey Norman Holdings is engaged in integrated retail, franchise, property and digital system. Co.'s business activities include: franchisor; sale of furniture, bedding, computers, communications and consumer electrical products in New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, Slovenia, Ireland, Northern Ireland and Croatia; property investment; lessor of premises to Harvey Norman®, Domayne® and Joyce Mayne® franchisees and other third parties; media placement; and provision of consumer finance and other commercial advances.

InvoCare Ltd.

Invocare is a provider of services in the funeral industry in Australia, New Zealand and Singapore with smaller operations in Hong Kong and the U.S. Through its associate, Co. provides online memorial services to allow families and communities to celebrate the life of a loved one.

JB Hi-Fi Limited

JB Hi Fi is engaged in the retailing of home consumer products. Co. provides a range of brands with particular focus on consumer electronics, software including music, games and movies, whitegoods and appliances.

Navitas Limited

Navitas provides educational services to domestic and overseas students. Co.'s segments are: University Partnerships, which delivers education programs, via pathway colleges and managed campuses, to students requiring a university education; SAE Institute, which delivers education programs in creative media including courses in audio, film and multimedia; and Professional and English Programs, which delivers English language tuition, jobs skills training and higher and vocational education in health, security and psychology, and is comprised of four business units: English and Foundation Skills, Careers and Learning Skills, Navitas Professional Institute, and Training and Development.

Super Retail Group Limited

Super Retail Group's main activities are result in the following business segments: Auto, which include retailing of auto parts and accessories, tools and equipment; Leisure, which include retailing of boating, camping, outdoor equipment, fishing equipment and apparel; and Sports, which include retailing of sporting equipment, bicycles, bicycles accessories and apparel. Co.'s principal brands include Amart Sports for sports products such as equipment, apparel and associated accessories; BCF for an outdoor retailer; Rays for an outdoor entertainment and camping leisure retailer; Rebel for sporting and goods such as fitness equipment; and Supercheap Auto for automotive parts and accessories.

Trade Me Group Limited

Trade Me Group is a online marketplace and classified advertising platform that is engaged in the auctions and fixed price sales for new and used goods, as well as automotive, real estate and employment businesses. Co. is also engaged in the web businesses for accommodation, dating and group buying.

Webjet Limited

Webjet is engaged in the provision of online travel bookings. Co.'s business consists of a Business to Consumer division (comprising theWebjet, ZUJI and Online Republic brands) and a Business to Business division (comprising the Lots of Hotels and Sunhotels brands).

Provider
Macro Strategy Advisors Pty Ltd
Macro Strategy Advisors Pty Ltd

About  us:

  • The business is a Proprietary Limited Australian company that is owned and fully operated by Shane Lee from a small office in Sydney’s CBD.
  • Shane worked for 17 years in Sydney-based senior research roles (economist, equity strategist and bond strategist) in global and regional investment banks and a domestic commercial bank prior to starting Macro Strategy Advisors. These roles straddled the asset classes making him uniquely positioned to advise multi-asset investors. He worked for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) for 3 years as a housing, commercial property and equity market analyst and a liquidity forecasting specialist.  He worked as a structural engineer in Queensland for 10 years prior to his career at the RBA. 

Aim of our business:

  • To partner with our clients in their aim to maximise returns. We provide timely, independent and thought-provoking research on thematic macro issues that are impacting or could impact financial markets. We aim to produce research that prompts our clients to question their assumptions.

Services:

  • A fortnightly research note.
  • Regular presentations and data support delivered by understanding our clients interests and investment process.
  • We also in work in confidence to investigate, analyse and report on issues at our clients direction. This work is done on a project-by-project basis.
  • As an Australian based business, the main focus is analysing how domestic and global issues impact Australian investors. However, our global and domestic insights are also valued by our offshore clients.

Our Edge:

  • Our low cost base relative to our competitors allows us to provide a quality product at a reasonable cost.
  • We are fully independent and don’t support a banking function or any third party. We have no interests other than providing our clients with the best possible research.
  • Our focus is not point forecasting, but providing rigorous analysis and insight. We don’t routinely focus on the top or bottom 10% of likely outcomes to create a headline.
  • Shane’s background in engineering has provided clients with unique insights into global infrastructure and domestic housing issues.

 

Analysts
Shane Lee

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