Report
Tancrede Fulop
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

Endesa's 2019-21 Business Plan's Macro Assumptions Are Too Optimistic

We reiterate our fair value estimate of EUR 19 per share along with our no-moat, stable trend ratings after Endesa released 2018 results slightly above expectations and reiterated its short- and medium-term guidance. We view the shares as overvalued. We foresee the dividend to decrease in 2020 and 2021 due to a decline in net income that we forecast and planned reduction in the payout ratio. We prefer parent company Enel, whose dividend floor through 2021 guarantees a 9% annual growth. 
EBITDA i...
Underlying
Endesa S.A.

Endesa is engaged in the production, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity, through hydroelectric, fossil fuel, and nuclear generation. Co. is also engaged in the mining of coal for use in its fossil-fuel electric plants; mining research; land restoration, and environmental monitoring and control.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Tancrede Fulop

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