Report
Rebecca Scheuneman
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

Sweet Quarter for Narrow-Moat Hostess; We Now See Limited Upside in Shares

We don’t expect to materially alter our $14.40 fair value estimate for narrow-moat Hostess, as first-quarter results largely aligned with our outlook. However, the discount to our valuation has compressed as shares popped in the mid- to high-single-digits in pre-market; we suggest investors await a more attractive opportunity to build a position.
After three quarters of flat or declining organic growth, revenue bounced back, to the tune of 3.5%, driven by a 2% bump in pricing as well as the ben...
Underlying
Hostess Brands Inc. Class A

Hostess Brands is a packaged food company. The company produces Hostess?, Dolly Madison?, Cloverhill? and Big Texas? products at bakeries located in Emporia, KS; Columbus, GA; Indianapolis, IN; and Chicago, IL. In-store bakery products are produced at bakeries located in Southbridge, MA. The company has invested in baking and packaging technology, including installing two Auto-bake systems and fully-automated packaging systems. A portion of the company's products are co-manufactured and packaged under its brands and sold through its distribution facilities. The company's Direct-to-Warehouse distribution model uses centralized distribution centers and common carriers to fill orders, with products.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Rebecca Scheuneman

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