Report
Mathew Hodge
EUR 101.80 For Business Accounts Only

Copper Forecast Update: Prices Should Fall as Supply Rebounds and Chinese Demand Slips Post-Stimulus

We’ve raised our 2017 and 2018 copper price forecasts amid short-term supply constraints and stimulus-related demand growth in China. We now expect prices to average $2.65 per pound in 2017 (previously $2.40) and $2.40 in 2018 (previously $2.05). The changes see minor near-term earnings upgrades for no-moat Teck Resources, but not sufficient to alter our CAD 14 per share fair value estimate.
We expect copper prices, which have surged in recent weeks to $2.90 per pound, to fall in the remainder o...
Underlying
Teck Resources Limited Class B

Teck Resources is engaged in mining and related activities including exploration, development, processing, smelting and refining. Co.'s major products are steelmaking coal, copper and zinc. Co. also produces precious metals, lead, molybdenum, electrical power, fertilizers and other metals. Co. also owns an interest in certain oil sands leases and have partnership interests in an oil sands development project and wind power project.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Mathew Hodge

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