Report
Jennifer Levy

#10 - Covered bond research

Covered bond issuance remains dynamic, with €5bn issued since the beginning of the week. Long - dated covered bond s have become more prominent with deals exceeding or equal to 7 years now accounting for 39% of May's supply compared to just 20% last April. Despite this trend, investors continue to favor shorter maturities as reflected this week by an average oversubscription ratio of 2.8x for deals below 7 years compared to 2x for those of 7 years or more. Analysis of the covered bond investor landscape : Banks remain the largest players in the covered bond market but continue to decrease their allocation . This decline has been offset by the higher participation from Central banks and official institutions, representing now 21% . In terms of geographic breakdown, w ith a share of 39%, German and Austrian investors continue to a major role in the covered bond market, even though their participation declined by 5pp compared to last year. Nordics investors have been more involved in covered bond deals this year (+4bp vs 2024, reaching 16%). Given the lower pick-up vs OAT, participation from French investors has experienced the most significant decrease accounting now for 7.6% (-5pp compared to last year ).
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Jennifer Levy

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