Report
Patrick Artus

A permanent policy of yield curve control by central banks at a time when inflation is picking up would make sense

We believe the following configuration could be seen in OECD countries in the aftermath of the COVID crisis: A gradual rise in inflation, due to population ageing, a return to regional value chains and a correction of the skewing of income distribution against employees; Central banks permanently using yield curve control, i.e. keeping nominal long-term interest rates low; This would lead to persistently negative real long-term interest rates, which makes sense to : Restore investment and therefore potential growth, which has been weakened by the recession; Gradually reduce debt ratios.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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