A procyclical monetary policy normalisation is the worst thing that could happen for financial markets
In the United States and the euro zone, we are now going to see a procyclical monetary policy normalisation : the central banks are going to exit their highly expansionary monetary policies at a time when the economy is set to slow. This configuration is the worst thing for equity markets, as they face a rise in interest rates and a slowdown in growth, and therefore probably a sharp fall in PERs. The fall in equity markets will then amplify the fall in demand and in activity.
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Natixis
Natixis
Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.