A resurgence of the epidemic? What real time indicators say #11

Many signals such as the further increase in the number of confirmed cases, effective R reproduction rate, and the appearance of several clusters in Europe suggest that we could be at the beginning of a new epidemic wave . Some measures are gradually being put in place to further limit the spread of the epidemic: in France, for example, masks have been made mandatory in all closed public places from this Monday, July 20. This week we have chosen to take stock of the epidemic situation in Europe and in the United States: We are looking at the state of the epidemic in Europe to date . Overall , the country with the highest number of deaths is Belgium (mortality rate of 0.086% of the total population), followed by the United Kingdom (mortality rate of 0.068%). France has a mortality rate of around 0.045%. Conversely, the least affected countries are the Eastern European countries, such as Slovakia, Latvia and Greece. The reproduction rate , called R0, indicates the progression of the epidemic based on the average number of new people infected by a n individual. While it was below 1 in France until June, it tends to increase and is now around 1.2 in most regions. Health restriction data show (for the time being) a decrease in rules in most countries . In China from mid-May and recently in Italy and Spain , health measures were tightened due to the emergence of new clusters.