Report
Patrick Artus

A shortfall in domestic savings invested in the country: A key problem for many emerging countries

We can imagine two configurations in emerging countries that give rise to a shortfall in savings invested in the country: Significant capital outflows due to an overly expansionary monetary policy, leading to a fall in the capital invested in the country and also a depreciation of the exchange rate. Examples of this situation are Argentina and Turkey; A shortfall in domestic savings, which means that when the investment level is sufficient, it is financed by external borrowing. This leads to excessive external debt, and to repeated currency crises; this can be seen in Brazil, South Africa, India and also Turkey. For an emerging country to ensure its economic and financial stability, it must therefore have sufficient domestic savings invested in the country.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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