Report
Patrick Artus

After the coronavirus crisis, what is rational for an individual company becomes collectively dangerous

After the coronavirus crisis, companies (we look at the cases of the euro zone and France) will be much more indebted, as they will have to offset some of the fall in their revenues during the crisis by borrowing. The individually rational reaction of indebted companies will be to freeze wages and hiring and reduce investment budgets. But this rational reaction by individual companies is collectively disastrous, as it will keep activity weak once the health crisis is over if wages and employment are stagnant and investment falls (after the 2008-2009 crisis in the euro zone and France, employment was stagnant and investment was weak, but there was no wage freeze ). Governments will therefore have to help companies invest and hire, with investment aid (tax cuts, accelerated depreciation) and measures to boost employment (reduction in social contributions for new employment contracts for example).
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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