Report
Patrick Artus

Are banks in the euro zone creating their own future problems?

Share prices of euro-zone banks have fallen markedly since the start of 2018: investors seem to be pessimistic about these banks’ future financial situation. Can we expect problems for these banks? Indeed: They are granting fixed-rate loans at very low interest rates; this will lead to significant interest rate risk in their balance sheets if they do not hedge their lending by issuing long-maturity bonds; The rise in risk perception since the start of 2018 has increased the banks’ cost of bond financing more than their interest rate margins on loans; The euro yield curve is very flat and the unemployment rate in the zone is very close to the structural unemployment rate: these banks will be unable to accumulate significant profits before euro-zone growth slows down.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch