Report
Patrick Artus

Basic solidarity in a currency area consists in the countries in good health having interest rates that are too low for their needs, which Germany rejects

The ruling of the German Federal Constitutional Court , which questions the role of the ECB in the monetary financing of fiscal deficits, reveals several components of Germany’s negative view of the ECB’s current behaviour: It gives rise to a moral hazard: as fiscal deficits are very easy to finance thanks to public debt monetisation, the euro-zone countries no longer have any incentive to improve their public finances or to lift their potential growth. This risk, it has to be admitted, does exist , and the monetisation of fiscal deficits should be limited to deficits that do not result from the absence of reform; It results in extremely low interest rates, which is negative for Germany, a creditor country with a high savings rate. This argument, in contrast, is not admissible: in a currency area, the countries in good health have to accept that area interest rates will be too low for their needs.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch