Report
Patrick Artus

Can public spending be reduced once it has been increased?

The situation is dangerous if in some OECD countries public spending, once increased, can no longer be reduced: such increases, even linked to a temporary need (a decline in activity), become permanent, and this transforms part of cyclical fiscal deficits into structural fiscal deficits. In the major OECD countries, we look at the degree of inertia in public spending (by explaining the level of public spending, in real terms, by that of the previous year, by the output gap and by the degree of population ageing). Among the seven largest OECD countries, we see a high degree of public spending inertia in the United Kingdom, France and Spain, with complete public spending inertia in all three cases .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch