July CPI Review: Goods Prices Remain Behaved
Overall the July CPI report showed less tariff related goods pressures than expected, in a month where we believed increased price pass-throughs would be more evident. Where tariff related cost increases are being absorbed along the supply chain is yet to be determined (tomorrow’s PPI should help inform), but thus far while goods prices are rising faster than earlier in the year, the impact in July was less than expected. For details, headline CPI came out at +0.2% m/m (+0.197% unrounded, +0.2% consensus) and +2.7% y/y (vs. +2.8% consensus), with food prices moderating slightly and energy pos...