Report
Patrick Artus

Can we interpret surges in gold prices?

We look at periods when gold prices have risen significantly: can we explain the rise in gold prices from 1973 to 1975, from 1978 to 1981, in 1987-88, from 2002 to 2012 with a fall in 2008, and since 2019? The usual explanations for a rise in gold prices are: Inflation expectations; A depreciation of the dollar; High risk aversion, triggering sales of equities; Rapid growth in money creation and a loss of confidence in money, in the United States or in the OECD as a whole. The following explanations are valid: Inflation expectations in 1973-75 and 1978-81; A depreciation of the dollar in 1973-75, 1978-81, 1987-88, 2002-2012 and 2020; High risk aversion and a resulting fall in share prices in 1987-88, 2009 to 2012 and 2020; Money creation in the United States and the OECD in 2009-2012 and 2019-2020.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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