Report
Patrick Artus

Central banks target the employment rate, not the unemployment rate

It is mostly thought that monetary policy is driven by the unemployment rate, that central banks target a low unemployment rate as long as there is no risk of inflation. But central banks actually want to obtain a high level of (potential) production, in order to increase the well-being of the population. This means that their real objective is not a low unemployment rate, but a high employment rate, which can be very different in the event of a change in the participation rate (the percentage of the working-age population in the labour market): if the participation rate is low, the employment rate can be low despite a low unemployment rate. Indeed, it is a high employment rate that makes it possible to reduce inequality, which has also become an objective of central banks. T o find out when monetary policy may become less expansionary after a recession , observers should therefore monitor the employment rate and not the unemployment rate.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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