Report
Patrick Artus

China has become a closed economy: GDP growth, the quantity of money and credit in China now has merely an accounting influence on the global economy

China has become a closed economy in recent years : The foreign trade share of GDP has become low; Chinese growth is driven by domestic demand for services; China’s capital controls and the small size of its external surplus separate its financial markets from those of the rest of the world. As a result of this separation of the Chinese economy, both in real and financial terms : While China’s GDP growth mechanically influences global growth, its growth no longer affects growth in the rest of the world; While growth in credit or in the money supply mechanically influences global growth in credit or in liquidity, it no longer affects financial markets outside China.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch