Report
Patrick Artus

China’s leaders will have to admit that for structural reasons, growth is going to be significantly weaker

China is now undergoing two major structural shocks: The skewing of its economy towards services, as traditional industry and construction contract. Productivity gains are lower in a service economy than in an industrial economy; Population ageing, as the decline in the working-age population gathers pace . Combining both factors, one arrives at the idea that China’s potential growth is going to head towards 4% - well below the symbolic 6% threshold.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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