RATES WEEKLY: Higher US real yields here to stay?
EUR rates:Recap of the week: The first week of 2026 saw a record surge in supply met by a resilient bull-flattening in EUR curves, as 10y Bunds drifted toward 2.85% and 10y BTP-Bund spreads hit 2008 low. Geopolitical shifts in Venezuela and cooling inflation data fueled the duration bid, though late-week oil volatility nudged inflation swaps, while French OATs lagged on fiscal caution. In the UK, Gilts outpaced peers with 10y yields dropping to 4.40% as soft activity data and cooling price pressures accelerated bets on a second-quarter BoE rate cut.Tactical view: We’re marginally long on durat...