Report
Thibaut Cuilliere

Contrasted inflows and performance between € and US$ credit funds over the last month

- Compression continued for High Beta credits … Over the last week, US$ HY, € HY and AT1s and Corp Hybrids have outperformed the credit market overall, with some spread tightening of 3 to 5 bp vs swaps Nevertheless, over the past month, there was a sharp contrast in terms of performance, with AT1 spreads tightening by 44 bp vs swap, followed by -30b p for € HY spreads and -21bp for Corp. Hybrids. Meanwhile, US$ HY suffered a 13bp widening , reflecting the discrepancy between inflows in US $ and € credit funds - … but € High Beta credits have been largely outperforming their US$ counterparts over the past month, in line with contrasted inflows in credit funds between € and $ markets Indeed, US$ HY funds posted net outflows of $2.6bn over the last 2 weeks, while there were less than €300mn net outflows in €HY funds over the same period. The same could be said of IG funds: $1.4bn net outflows for US$ ones, almost €1.9bn for € ones. - on the senior side, Corp. Non-financials outperformed financials over the past month by around 2 bp. Outperformance of Real Estate (-9bp) , Energy (-8bp) and Basic Resources (-7bp) over the past month . - Despite the renewed widening in the 10Y OAT-Bund spread to more than 80bp, the move has so far not impacted the credit market, with French Corporate and Banks performing in line with their European counterparts.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Thibaut Cuilliere

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