Report
Patrick Artus

Did 2019 exhaust the potential for a rise in asset prices?

Share prices and real estate prices rose sharply in 2019 in the United States and the euro zone, which can be attributed to: The very low long-term interest rates (after their rise in the second half of 2018 and after the Federal Reserve’s policy change); The fall in risk aversion (in late 2019), when fears about a trade war declined; The resilience of growth, whereas some feared a recession. Can we expect the same positive development in 2020, which would lead to a continued rise in asset prices? Long-term interest rates will remain low, but they could rise slightly due to expectations of a slow monetary normalisation policy in the future; Risk aversion cannot be lower than in early 2020; By contrast, it could be positive if growth is higher than what is expected by the consensus and if investment flows into risky assets continue.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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